Market Sense 市场意识

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Note:

All TA (Technical Analysis) view using charts are for illustration purpose only.

Unless otherwise specified, all charts' sources are from POEMS(Phillip Online Electronic Mart System)

Thursday, 11 July 2024

CLSA Feng Shui Index 2024

https://www.clsa.com/special/FSI/2024/

Friday, 13 January 2023

CLSA Feng Shui Index 2023

Wednesday, 19 January 2022

CLSA Feng Shui Index 2022

Saturday, 1 May 2021

Penguin's HK market outlook 210501

Daily chart (Source: investing.com) TA view for illustration purpose only

Jan to mid Mar mainboard average trading value: 226.57B

mid mar to Apr mainboard average trading value: 164.50B

difference: -27.40%

Observation:

HK enjoyed good trading vol and good sentiment since Jan to mid Mar. But from mid Mar to Apr ave trading vol shrinks 27% and HSI stuck within range for 1.5 months ( 27500 - 29400)

Outlook:

expect the rangebound pattern will be continued to May until significant trading vol breakout above 200B and can sustain for 3 days.

ETF recommendation for long term income:

SSIF DCE Iron Ore Futures Index ETF HKD 3047

by ckchoy

Thursday, 28 January 2021

CLSA Feng Shui Index 2021

https://www.clsa.com/special/FSI/2021/

Sunday, 2 August 2020

Gold Price Estimation Using Formula of Balance Sheet and GDP

Formula

Gold Price * (1+%change of balance sheet)/(1+%change of GDP)

backtest on uptrend where gold top at 1920 in year 2011. The estimation calculation using the formula is 2025: near to actual

backtest on downtrend where gold bottom around 1100 in year 2019. The estimation calculation using the formula is 1076: near to actual

Estimation calculation using the formula for gold price now as of 25/7/2020 using data from

2008 to now : formula calculation is 4778 (25/7/2020)

2011 to now : formula calculation is 2777 (25/7/2020)

2018 to now : formula calculation is 2958 (25/7/2020)

Source

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D8HZJAgXfjc&feature=youtu.be

Saturday, 7 March 2020

CLSA Feng Shui Index 2020

https://www.clsa.com/special/FSI/2020/

Tuesday, 18 June 2019

Singtel Mid Term TA

After hitting 2.83 low at the bottom line of downtrend channel (mid term chart), Singtel has been rebounding to near the upper line of the downtrend channel. 3.36 marked the 11-months high.
To break up the downtrend channel, first level to watch in short term (about a month) is 3.4. We are watching if downtrend channel will be successfully broken up. If not successful, suggest to take profit around 3.3-3.4.

Mid term chart (Source: Poems Mercury live chart) TA view for illustration purpose only

Monday, 17 June 2019

Hang Seng Index Long Term TA update

Long term (Monthly chart) trend shows in short term (about months) cannot break below 26k or else the long term uptrend will break down

Long term monthly chart (Source: HSI monthly chart) TA view for illustration purpose only

Wednesday, 20 February 2019

Hang Seng Index Mid Term Update

Touching mid term resistance at 28600

Mid term weekly chart (Source: HSI weekly chart) TA view for illustration purpose only

Market Sense