蘋果教主喬布斯，離職養病，惜終不敵病魔，終年五十有六。七十年代起家，先創辦蘋果電腦（AAPL），中途被逐蒙難，轉搞彼思動畫（PIXAR），一樣有聲有色。喜獲迪士尼（DIS）收購，續變身迪士尼大股東。另一檔生意NeXT，又被蘋果收購，最終回巢效力。重掌帥印後，將公司起死回生，比之前更加成功。蘋果最強的i字頭系列，都在這「中興」年代推出，產品廣受歡迎。據估計，喬布斯起碼顛覆了全球六大產業：個人電腦、手機、音樂、動畫、電子書、平板電腦。奮鬥三十餘年，已有力翻天覆地，如若再幹十年，會是何等景象？可惜，歷史沒有如果，傳奇不幸作結。
壽命限制事業成就
人的壽命，往往限制事業上的成就。當然，能投入工作的年份，才有意義。所以具有健康的身心，更形重要。對投資者而言，只要一息尚存，仍有建功立業機會，故此要有所成，首要身壯力健，二要保存財政實力，將留在市場的時間，延至最長。股神巴菲特，之所以能夠封神，一項重要因素，就是夠長壽。其首次登上世界首富寶座，是二○○八年，當時已屆七十八歲高齡。如股神像喬氏一般，不敵天數大限，只活到五十餘歲，即八十年代中，則其時連名震天下的傑作：可口可樂（KO），都尚未買入，總結成績，自然大打折扣。炒神索羅斯，更要到四十歲，才與羅傑斯開檔，首次管理基金。到擊潰英鎊一役，行年六十有二，就嚟有生果金攞。
留於市場時間，愈長愈着數，有幾個原因：首先是複利的威力。愛因斯坦謂：「複利乃宇宙間最強力量，是世界第八大奇迹。」年賺一成半，五年翻一番，純粹中學數，完全沒難度。又，股神曰：「時間為好公司之友，壞公司之敵。」當持有的股份，長年累月賺取利潤、派發股息，多年後回望，會在不覺間漸有所成。
投資技巧經驗累積
其次是知識、經驗，會隨時間累積。投資就如學英文，一開始從頭學起，字母、詞匯、句式、文法，最後才是作文。最初字母都未背完，出去同人鬥寫，自然瓜多過菜。多數人沒度過最初階段，但存活夠久，經歷漸長，開始識寫一段仔，雖然高手仍然眾多，但由於開始拋離入門新手，死亡率會逐漸下降，技巧亦漸進。在投資上，到了某一階段，譬如經過前兩年的海嘯，又或是近一年的波動，仍能力保不失，或許證明已找到生存之道。
而投資要有大成，也講點際遇，像股神亦要碰上八七股災，可口可樂回落，才有機會買入。下一次機會，何時降臨，無人能知，唯一可以肯定，待在市場愈久，碰上的機會愈多。同時，因為遇到機會的時間未明，時常保留一定的購買力，也相當重要。
金錢遊戲，人之所需，難以告終。喬布斯嘗勉勵後進謂：Stay hungry. Stay foolish.誠哉斯言。投資投機，欲更進一步，則宜加上：Stay in the game.
Source/转贴/Extract/Excerpts: 東周刊 / 輯錄自 424期 Book A 【大英Blog物館】
Publish date:11/10/11
Be decisive, Be patient, Don’t be greedy, Don't be stubborn
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Sunday, 16 October 2011
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