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CK Choy.

Market Sense 市场意识: 根据PE、PS指标量化投资,其基础必须是存在业务稳定性
Be decisive, Be patient, Don’t be greedy, Don't be stubborn

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The information contained in is provided to you for general information/circulation only and is not intended to nor will it create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information or opinions provided do not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, an offer or solicitation to subscribe for, purchase or sell the investment product(s) mentioned herein. It does not have any regard to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and any of your particular needs. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person or group of persons acting on this information. Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of the product and the income from them may fall as well as rise.

You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment products mentioned, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to purchase the investment product. In the event that you choose not to obtain advice from a financial adviser, you should assess and consider whether the investment product is suitable for you before proceeding to invest.

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Note:
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Monday, 20 August 2012

根据PE、PS指标量化投资,其基础必须是存在业务稳定性


根据PE、PS指标量化投资,其基础必须是存在业务稳定性。

  这两个指标,体现不出来企业实际资产质量,是建立在企业净资产基础上的量化数据。

  一旦,企业资产形成的商业竞争优势被突破,将变成镜中花、水中月。


  有很多企业,其净资产数量有限,依靠无形资产优势,形成商业竞争壁垒,这类企业比较特殊。

  例如:传媒、广告、公关、科技信息、专利研发......

  苹果,就是个典型例子,作为世界第一市值公司,苹果的科技与商业壁垒一旦被突破,产品出现大规模滞销,业绩大幅下滑,戴维斯他老人家就会疯狂肆虐。



  为什么,亚马逊这个企业很可怕?

  因为,亚马逊的业绩成长,是建立在非常坚实的能够产生现金流规模扩张的固定资产基础上。

  物流中心,这种资产是重资产,最惨的情况下,这些物流中心还能具备实际价值。

  科技、品牌资产都被突破,还能残存固定资产,给股东留了一块裤衩。

  这块裤衩,也恰恰是亚马逊庞大业务的实际支撑基础。通过科技创新,以最高效率运用固定资产,形成无形资产增值,是亚马逊最成功的地方。

  给你亚马逊市值的资金,你必须要攻破其品牌、科技壁垒,还要攻克其固定资产重置壁垒,这就变得非常困难。



  苏宁,最重要的不是PE指标,而是,PB、PS指标。

  净利润,不是最值得关注的。因为,需要进行极为庞大的固定资产建设投资,给股东们的私处留块裤衩。没有这款裤衩,一旦,品牌、商业模式被对手攻克,就彻底归零了,戴维斯他老人家就会疯狂肆虐。有这款裤衩,最坏还可以转型为DHL,做一个纯粹的物流企业,还有机会东山再起,没有,可真就是命悬一线,生死较量。



  饥饿游戏,对于那些缺乏PB指标支撑,仅仅具备PS指标支撑的电子商务企业来说,裤衩已飞。

  净资产,在有效亏损消耗下,江河日下,非常危险。

  

  谁穿没穿裤衩,要不了太久,就会知道。

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