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CK Choy.

Market Sense 市场意识: 恒指3周瀉3000點 反撲待下季
Be decisive, Be patient, Don’t be greedy, Don't be stubborn

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The information contained in is provided to you for general information/circulation only and is not intended to nor will it create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information or opinions provided do not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, an offer or solicitation to subscribe for, purchase or sell the investment product(s) mentioned herein. It does not have any regard to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and any of your particular needs. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person or group of persons acting on this information. Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of the product and the income from them may fall as well as rise.

You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment products mentioned, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to purchase the investment product. In the event that you choose not to obtain advice from a financial adviser, you should assess and consider whether the investment product is suitable for you before proceeding to invest.

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Note:
All TA (Technical Analysis) view using charts are for illustration purpose only.
Unless otherwise specified, all charts' sources are from POEMS(Phillip Online Electronic Mart System)

Sunday, 16 June 2013

恒指3周瀉3000點 反撲待下季

恒指3周瀉3000點 反撲待下季
夜期短線反彈238點 料下月始見底
2013年6月14日
【明報專訊】內地A股於端午節後復市即大跌，拖累國指連跌11天，平了1995年10月底的最長跌浪紀錄。恒指亦不遑多讓，早段隨外圍一度急挫700點，以昨日最低點計算，自5月20日恒指高見23,512點起計，3周已累計跌近3000點。投資界指出，美國收水預期、日圓回升及各國經濟數據不佳，三大因素繼續困擾後市，最快也要下個月才完成調整。

亞太區繼續爆發小股災，日本及菲律賓股市都跌逾6％，上證綜指復市後大跌2.83％。國指難逃厄運，再跌2.73％。恒指亦急插水，昨日跌467點至20,887點，較5月20日高位亦已跌逾2600點，昨天低位曾見20,652點。全日沽空率為12.4％，繼續處於高位，成交增至877億元。恒指期貨在夜市時段見反彈，收市報21,038點，較日間期指升238點。昨晚道指先跌後回升，截至昨晚11時報15,036點，升42點。匯控(0005)美國預託證券(ADR)報83.8元，較港收市升0.75元。


地產股低位反彈 匯控美升0.75元

中資金融股昨日全線下跌，建行(0939)除息後再跌3.2％，資源股普遍下挫，但本地地產股在低位反彈，部分更倒升收市，帶動恒指收市跌幅收窄。豐盛資產管理董事黃國英指出，除地產股外，房託基金及公用股亦在低位有承接，若以長線投資為主，可考慮吸納。

匯豐：10月三中全會推改革 利反彈

回顧過去10年，恒指在5月及6月往往經歷跌市，並在7月回升，8月再度調整後，第四季普遍向好(見表)。早前匯豐的報告便指出，內地10月舉行三中全會，屆時可能推出各項改革，令股市向上突破。昨日投資界亦給出各項原因，預言股市在下半年才會反彈。

摩根資產管理市場策略師譚慧敏指出，過去數年市場都預期美國會結束量化寬鬆政策，但一直沒有明顯的調整，所以今次調整的幅度將比前兩次大，可能要到8月才大致消化這因素。她強調，該行不急於買貨，現時股匯債都下挫，持現金才是上策。建銀國際研究部董事總經理蘇國堅認為，過去數月很多人借日圓買美股或其他高息資產，因此只要日圓繼續走強，股市拋售潮都尚未完結，「待基金在6月底年結後，平倉活動完結，才有望扭轉劣勢」。

恒生：待經濟數據10月好轉

恒生投資服務公司首席分析員溫灼培指出，近期跌市元兇是經濟數據差，「上月底公布的歐元區首季經濟增長及本月初公布的5月份美國製造業指數都令市場失望」，他指出，亞太區尤其是中國都依賴出口，歐美經濟復蘇不達標影響投資者的預期，估計第三季數據好轉，投資氣氛才會好轉。

明報記者 廖毅然
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Source/Extract/Excerpts/来源/转贴/摘录: 明報
Publish date:14/06/13
Posted by ckchoy77 at 18:06
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