by Daniel Loh
1) /CL - Last month crude oil is considered bullish as indicated by CRS monthly. This month CRS indicate that crude oil is still bullish with CRS support at 47.25 and 45.66. Our prediction is barring any sharp drop on monday, this month is considered bullish for crude.
My opinion is that crude will also have a BIG Resistance at $52, the 2 times resistance from the lowest point $26. Hence my prediction is crude oil may range in between $45.66 and $52 this month, until it breakout.
Play within the range, near $52, good to go in BCS, near $45.66, good to go in BPS
2) /GC - This month the first day, Gold already opened below our CRS lines of 1323 and 1331, hence considered bearish now. This will be the resistances for this month. With the sharp drop in gold price, we dont encourage to go in BCS now, until it goes to near 1300.
For support, we think /GC might have a support at $1240-$1250 using fibonnaci @38.2% and a 10% drop from the top, which we considered a support for any index that is in a bullish market.
3) /ZN - This month is bearish. May consider going in BCS with resistances at 130'245 and 131'020
4) /ES - Still the safest of all futures products - Continue to go in BPS this month! The only repair that is needed should the plunge come is to partial roll 1 lot for every 5 lots of sell put to one lot of sell call same premium, park there for a while until panic over, then roll back to sell put again.
5) /ZC - likely to be bullish this month and support is at CRS lines 330 and 333. But going in BPS should not have much premium. Might consider going in a debit strategy ie. (Buy 1st strike ITM call, sell 1st strike OTM call) when price drops a bit to near $340 (better as /ZC has risen a bit from at start of this month). A good thing with debit spread is there is a limited loss with risk reward ratio near 1:1.
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