全球股市上个星期依然在各种不利因素中挣扎，亚洲股市更是连续多周滑落，本地海峡时报指数上周跌超过70点，直逼3000点心理水平。
分析师对接下来市场走势看法不一：有人指有迹象显示希腊债务问题可待解决，股市可能会开始上扬；也有人表示现在并不是一个大量购入股票的好时机。
星展唯高达指出，市场整体的调整趋势预料将继续，目前的阻力水平位于3042点至3052点。过去两三个星期，本地股市虽然持续下跌，但跌幅还没有大到引发市场迅速和可持续的回弹。海指在找到稳定的支诺闱埃赡芑峒绦驴?970点。
花旗银行全球资本市场认为，目前市场缺乏方向感，多数指数都在横摆，表现好与差的市场和领域差距正在缩小，价格动力也逐渐消退。
该机构也指出，现阶段市场找不到方向也是正常的，股市正处于磨合期，但防御类股的表现不会一直好于周期波动类股。
上星期，海指前三个交易日里还在3060点的水平横摆，但随着希腊债务危机引发的民众示威，以及对全球经济复苏的不确定看法，股市在随后的两天里一跌再跌，直落近60点，最后收在3005.28点。
美国股市上星期也一度持续走低，好在欧元在星期五攀高，显示出希腊债务的救助计划可能会有所进展并好转，令美国股市连续六个星期的跌势得以暂停。
一般上，市场认为美国股市若从高点跌落10％或以上，可以称得上是一轮调整。标准普尔500指数与今年4月29日创下的今年最高闭市水平相比，现在已经跌了7％。
美国Ameriprise财务的首席市场策略师乔伊(David Joy)指出，市场似乎已经从令人担忧的水平开始回弹，至少现在有迹象显示这些问题能够解决，市场可能会开始走高。
不过，通常引领整个市场走势的纽约自动报价股市(Nasdaq)却没有止跌。整个星期滑落1％，比4月底的高位水平跌落了9％。
尽管市场充斥着各种不确定因素，但美国投资者并没有感到恐慌。他们认为欧盟最终会对希腊施以援手，不会对市场造成巨大的影响，现在市场的下跌正好是买入的好时机。
贝莱德(BlackRock)首席市场策略师透露，趁这次股市调整，将增持周期波动类股，减持防御型股票。
不过也有业内人士采取谨慎的策略，乔伊就打算等到夏季过去后再有所行动。
他认为目前市场还泻芏嗖蝗范ㄒ蛩兀衷诖缶偻蹲士赡懿⒉幻髦牵?月以后会是个不错的时机。
接下来，投资者也将拭目以待美国的第一季度经济数据，以及美国联邦储备局主席伯南克在结束两天的联储局会议后，如何表态。
Source/转贴/Extract/: 联合早报
Publish date:20/06/11
Be decisive, Be patient, Don’t be greedy, Don't be stubborn
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Tuesday, 21 June 2011
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