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CK Choy.

Market Sense 市场意识: The Fall of Gold and Their Related Sector
Be decisive, Be patient, Don’t be greedy, Don't be stubborn

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The information contained in is provided to you for general information/circulation only and is not intended to nor will it create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information or opinions provided do not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, an offer or solicitation to subscribe for, purchase or sell the investment product(s) mentioned herein. It does not have any regard to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and any of your particular needs. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person or group of persons acting on this information. Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of the product and the income from them may fall as well as rise.

You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment products mentioned, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to purchase the investment product. In the event that you choose not to obtain advice from a financial adviser, you should assess and consider whether the investment product is suitable for you before proceeding to invest.

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Note:
All TA (Technical Analysis) view using charts are for illustration purpose only.
Unless otherwise specified, all charts' sources are from POEMS(Phillip Online Electronic Mart System)

Thursday 18 April 2013

The Fall of Gold and Their Related Sector


Posted on  by Ichimoku

Following up on a previous article written about GLD, this article looks at the mining industry that obviously would be directly impacted by the fall in recent capitulation in gold and precious metals.
By now, every investor or trader should have already read or heard about the fall of gold in the commodities market last week. If you haven’t, here’s a recap — let’s look at the charts of the  popular gold ETF, GLD
GLD monthly
Since the peak of August 2011, GLD has dropped about 22%. In fact, the ETF broke its long term uptrend support beginning of 2012 and has been trading sideways since then. Last week’s capitulation was significant when GLD broke the $150 which served as support during the consolidation period. Now that GLD has broken that psychological support, the next question is, how low can it go?
A clue would be the the popular Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level, which is a popular technical analysis tool used by traders. If we measured the Fib from its base of around $45, GLD should find some support around $132 level, which is near a the round number $130 — another psychological support if you like. Like most things in the markets, nothing goes down (or up) in a straight line, so there we could see a short bear market rally at those “round number” levels — the next one being $140 (not shown above).
Often, the price movement in a major commodity like gold will have an effect on stocks of companies involved in the mining or related industry. An ETF that tracks gold miners is the GDX
To find out more about the performance of this gold mining ETF, click here to read the rest of the article.

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