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CK Choy.

Market Sense 市场意识: Shanghai Composite may run to 3300-3400 next year, followed by one year of consolidation!
Be decisive, Be patient, Don’t be greedy, Don't be stubborn

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The information contained in is provided to you for general information/circulation only and is not intended to nor will it create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information or opinions provided do not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, an offer or solicitation to subscribe for, purchase or sell the investment product(s) mentioned herein. It does not have any regard to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and any of your particular needs. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person or group of persons acting on this information. Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of the product and the income from them may fall as well as rise.

You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment products mentioned, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to purchase the investment product. In the event that you choose not to obtain advice from a financial adviser, you should assess and consider whether the investment product is suitable for you before proceeding to invest.

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Thursday 4 December 2014

Shanghai Composite may run to 3300-3400 next year, followed by one year of consolidation!

We did talked about the start of the bull market if Shanghai Composite can break that 2500 barrier this year. Ever since the breakout of 2500, the composite has been extremely bullish.





A few important points to take note and what we predict NOW:

1) Shanghai Composite is confirmed to be in a bull market. Any retracement these few months should be a BUYING opportunity


2) This is the first phase of bull run. In first phase of bull run, it seems like almost every month rise. Occasionally there may be one month down. Every time it is down on that month, make sure you buy. First year of bull run, the index will not fall much.


3) This bull run started in July this year after the government implement some so called mini-stimulus. It is a hidden fact that they printed money to stimulate the economy and stock market. Just that the government did not announce it publicly. Printing money works wonders again, this run is just like Japan Nikkei last year.

Article talking about stimulus:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-05-29/china-stretches-mini-label-for-stimulus-as-steps-grow.html


4) This almost every month bullish run should continue to June 2015, and after which Shanghai composite will correct strongly! My prediction is that this run will halt in June next year. Be careful of the sharp drop. We will then enter the second phase of bull run, where not every month runs.


5) Be careful of 3300-3400 next year! This is where Shanghai composite might hit the brickwall. A must sell area for mid term investors. Wait for a correction of 15-20% in the index.


6) Best sector to invest now is Banking sector, most likely will increase 2 times from now till 2016. May also select those high dividend blue chip stocks. Shanghai Hongkong connect provide us with a good chance to pick them up.


Coming June next year, we shall see if my predictions come true.

Stay tuned...

Rgds
Daniel

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