After hitting the top at 33510 on 29 Jan 2018, Hang Seng Index, HSI reversed down and hit a low at 28570 on 10 Feb before rebounding to a lower high to around level 32000. From here it is consolidating down again and a downtrend channel was drawn on the short term daily chart, connecting the top 33510 and the lower high of 28750. As of current 9 Apr 2018 2pm HSI traded around 30200 level, where it is around the mid point of consolidating channel.
For short term movement, traders can consider sell into strength when it traded near to channel resistance around 31000 and above; and buy for a short term rebound near support level around 29000 level and below. (refer to short term daily chart)
Critical point to watch, using HSI long term monthly chart as reference, if support level 28605 break down convincingly, it may hint HSI uptrend run has ended and downtrend to begin.
Short term news/situation to watch
1)Trade war, especially between US and China...(but my personal view is there will not be negative outcome afterall)
2)Tech counters to continue consolidating? The current bull market run from 1 Feb 2016 low to 2018 has been mainly driven by technology stocks or NASDAQ boom... if tech counters were to fall back for a correction phase, it will drive to a deep pull back or market correction usually about 20%.
Long term monthly chart (Source: HSI monthly chart) TA view for illustration purpose only |
Short term daily chart (Source: HSI daily chart) TA view for illustration purpose only |
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