Market Sense

DISCLAIMER

The information contained in this publication / this website is provided to you for general information only and is not intended to nor will it create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information or opinions provided do not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, an offer or solicitation to subscribe for, purchase or sell the investment product(s) mentioned herein. It does not have any regard to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and any of your particular needs. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person or group of persons acting on this information. Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of the product and the income from them may fall as well as rise. You may wish to obtain advice from a financial adviser before making a commitment to purchase any of the investment products mentioned herein. In the event that you choose not to obtain advice from a financial adviser, you should assess and consider whether the investment product is suitable for you before proceeding to invest. Any views, opinions, references or other statements or facts provided in this blog/website are personal views and shall disclaim any liability for damages resulting from errors and omissions contained.

CK Choy.

Market Sense 市场意识: 胡立阳股票投资100招-第56招-遇上平台断层须冷静应对
Be decisive, Be patient, Don’t be greedy, Don't be stubborn

Disclaimer

如果要翻译这个网站,请使用google translate http://translate.google.com

The information contained in is provided to you for general information/circulation only and is not intended to nor will it create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information or opinions provided do not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, an offer or solicitation to subscribe for, purchase or sell the investment product(s) mentioned herein. It does not have any regard to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and any of your particular needs. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person or group of persons acting on this information. Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of the product and the income from them may fall as well as rise.

You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment products mentioned, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to purchase the investment product. In the event that you choose not to obtain advice from a financial adviser, you should assess and consider whether the investment product is suitable for you before proceeding to invest.

Any views, opinions, references or other statements or facts provided in this are personal views. No liability is accepted for any direct/indirect or any other damages of any kind arising from or in connection with your reliance on the information provided herein.

Personal Data Protection Act (PDPA)
You would like this website to collect your personally identifiable information that can be used to contact or identify you (“Personal Data”). Personal Data may include, but is not limited to:
- Your name, email address and phone number.
You acknowledge and consent to our collection of your personal data for contacting you on the purposes listed below:
- Marketing, advertising and promotional purposes related to the content of this website
- Provision of products & services which you have requested for
Please note that you are entitled to withdraw your consent for the collection of your personal data at any point in time by providing a notification to ckchoy77@gmail.com.

Note:
All TA (Technical Analysis) view using charts are for illustration purpose only.
Unless otherwise specified, all charts' sources are from POEMS(Phillip Online Electronic Mart System)

Saturday 25 June 2011

胡立阳股票投资100招-第56招-遇上平台断层须冷静应对

投资人问:
前一阵子的股市一直是在1000点到1200点之间做箱型整理,我每次一到1000点的箱底就买进,1200点的箱顶就卖出,来回3次都赚到了“全垒打”,好过瘾。上星期指数又回到1000点,既然圣诞老人又来了,我照例“开门迎接”。

但很不幸,第二天指数在毫无任何利空的情况下,轻而易举的就跌破了1000点的长期箱底支撑。看得我傻眼了,只好在第三天一开盘以后就全部认赔杀出。终于“悲剧”又发生了,第四天指数居然又在毫无利多的情况下大幅翻升,由950点涨回到了1000点。过了三五天之后更是气人,它还涨到了1100点,回到了原先箱型整理的正中央。真是指数依在,人事全非,我已经被扫地出门了!书上不是都说箱底一旦失守,就会成为下一个箱的箱顶吗?我错在什么地方?纳闷、纳闷、真纳闷……有谁能解释呢?

哇!连股市中的识途老马这下都迷路了,是有必要伸出援手了!

我过去的好几位大型基金经理人同事都很喜欢运用“程序交易”来设立“止损点”。举例说,当指数一跌破1000点大关,“程序交易”立即启动,所有个股都被一一“断头”。这么做是为了避险,等到别的法人一看情势不对,已经晚了他们一步。但是这些投资专家也不讳言地表示,他们或有可能卖错,特别是当遇上“平台断层”的状况!

但是他们眼明手快,总是能及时回补,整个交易结果又变成“高卖低买”,实在是够厉害!

究竟什么是“平台断层”?它在“箱型整理”以及“长期筑底”的过程中究竟扮演什么角色?投资朋友大概都对它很陌生,让我们快来看看!

对股票或是股指期货操盘手而言,遇上指数在200点区间上下游走“箱型整理”,可以顺势来回操作。举例说,1000点买,1200点卖,既轻松又愉快。

只可惜,有一天终于出现反常状况,指数突然“莫名其妙”的跌破了1000点的箱底支撑,大多数人由于眼见整理格局已被破坏,会立即翻多为空。

其实,我注意到,指数凡是“莫名其妙”的急跌破底(1~2个交易日内的急跌),它在接着的5个交易日之内站回1000点的几率极高,箱型格局依然未变,这就是典型的“平台断层”现象!





在股市中“平台断层”图形经常可见,许多个股都会出现“假跌破”

长期支撑的现象,要懂得分辨才能避免被“有心人”挤下车

别小看这一来一回短短几天的“断层”过程,它往往已将盘整已久的大盘进行了一次“大洗盘”,增添了往后指数再度上冲至1200点箱顶区甚至向上脱离箱型区间的动能。这种平台断层与指数上攻时所出现的“假突破,真拉回”恰好相反。

根据统计,在1996年至2004年这8年多的时间内,华尔街股市符合这种“平台断层”的现象至少发生了31次,而其中的22次都是在5个交易日之内便回升到了原箱底或是长期支撑线之上。

冷静一些,便能避免跟着慌慌张张的人一起下错车了!

通常股价一跌破长期支撑线,很多人就已经急慌慌

的想向下跳了,先别着急,有可能只是“平台断层”

但是,也应注意,指数跌破了盘整已久的箱底区或支撑线之后,仍须仔细观察,若指数下跌的过程缓慢而非急跌,根本不像能在2至3天内触及底部,接着又无法在5日之内回到原箱底时,便是真的落到下一层的箱型区去了。


No comments:

Post a Comment