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CK Choy.

Market Sense 市场意识: 胡立阳股票投资100招-(28)有第一手资讯 才有第一手决策
Be decisive, Be patient, Don’t be greedy, Don't be stubborn

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The information contained in is provided to you for general information/circulation only and is not intended to nor will it create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information or opinions provided do not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, an offer or solicitation to subscribe for, purchase or sell the investment product(s) mentioned herein. It does not have any regard to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and any of your particular needs. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person or group of persons acting on this information. Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of the product and the income from them may fall as well as rise.

You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment products mentioned, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to purchase the investment product. In the event that you choose not to obtain advice from a financial adviser, you should assess and consider whether the investment product is suitable for you before proceeding to invest.

Any views, opinions, references or other statements or facts provided in this are personal views. No liability is accepted for any direct/indirect or any other damages of any kind arising from or in connection with your reliance on the information provided herein.

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Note:
All TA (Technical Analysis) view using charts are for illustration purpose only.
Unless otherwise specified, all charts' sources are from POEMS(Phillip Online Electronic Mart System)

Saturday 25 June 2011

胡立阳股票投资100招-(28)有第一手资讯 才有第一手决策

我总是认为公司的财务报表或是业务报告,在对外公布之前,主管、大股东、会计师、编辑、法人机构,甚至连刊物印刷员都可能提前知道,上报之后更是万人皆知。参考这种“二手”资料还能做出“一手”的买卖决策吗?

买卖股票,要能捷足先登才可胜人一筹,这是金科玉律,但如何能做到呢?

当然,各种不同的传播媒体,包括报纸、电台、杂志等都会有专家们对行情做各种分析、评估,而各有关单位或上市公司,也都会定时发布公司的各项营运状况及财务报告。这些经过整理的“二手”资料,的确到处都是,可善加利用。

问题是,光靠这些二手的资料,便能稳操胜券吗?以季报为例,上市公司公布的只是前几个月的营收与资产负债情况,那已经不是新闻了。更重要的是,这些报道已是人尽皆知,其价值当然已打了折扣。

所以,如何能快人一步地取得第一手参考资料,是一门大学问。这里有一则真实的笑话:我认识一位股票迷,发明了一套“数汽车原理”,专门用来决定股票的取舍。

这位仁兄的做法大致是,在买进一家公司的股票后,便每天到公司的停车场去数数汽车,看看员工汽车数量是增加还是减少。如果发现公司人员的汽车数目不断增加,则表示公司业务蒸蒸日上,需要扩充人马。而主管的座车若越换越气派,便代表公司有赚头,高级人员奖金多,买进这种公司的股票要不发财也难。

反过来说,一旦发现公司人员的车数日减,就是到了股票应该出手的时候了。

有一天,他像往常一样,一大早就到公司停车场“报到”,猛然发现车子一下子少了三分之二,使他大惊失色,料定公司发生了罢工或其他意外,于是十万火急地把股票全部卖出。但令这位仁兄大惑不解的是,卖出后股价仍然连日上涨。后来经他打听,才知道原来那一天是公司在连日加班后特别补假一天,只有三分之一的人值班!

这虽然只是一个笑话,但所代表的观念——想尽办法追求第一手资讯,却是正确的。

又如,报纸上一有公司的招聘启事,就应该主动分析是公司流动率太高,留不住人?还是公司运营正渐入佳境,急需添增人手?这些都是收集第一手资料的途径。

此外,多阅读一些世界各地财经报道,也可让你比别人早一步洞悉如国际油价走势、利率变化、产业动态等讯息,这些也都算得上是第一手的资料,可以帮助你做出“第一手”的买卖决策。

要想尽点子搜集第一手资料才能获胜。

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