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CK Choy.

Market Sense 市场意识: 胡立阳股票投资100招-第60招- 见关不是关的幕后真相
Be decisive, Be patient, Don’t be greedy, Don't be stubborn

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The information contained in is provided to you for general information/circulation only and is not intended to nor will it create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information or opinions provided do not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, an offer or solicitation to subscribe for, purchase or sell the investment product(s) mentioned herein. It does not have any regard to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and any of your particular needs. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person or group of persons acting on this information. Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of the product and the income from them may fall as well as rise.

You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment products mentioned, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to purchase the investment product. In the event that you choose not to obtain advice from a financial adviser, you should assess and consider whether the investment product is suitable for you before proceeding to invest.

Any views, opinions, references or other statements or facts provided in this are personal views. No liability is accepted for any direct/indirect or any other damages of any kind arising from or in connection with your reliance on the information provided herein.

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All TA (Technical Analysis) view using charts are for illustration purpose only.
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Saturday 25 June 2011

胡立阳股票投资100招-第60招- 见关不是关的幕后真相

投资人问：
每当指数来到诸如4000点、5000点等等的大关卡，我便浑身不对劲，我讨厌“猜谜游戏”，因为我永远猜错！以往每次满怀期待，认为指数必定能冲关成功时，总是事与愿违，换来满手套牢股。有几次好不容易逮到指数一口气站上关卡边缘，却又因心虚多虑，第二天一见到拉回就吓得赶紧开溜，结果又是活生生的被洗掉了。不是常常听人说有什么“假过关真拉回”这种事吗？我已经完全搞不懂了。

股市中总有太多人都患有关卡恐惧症，你不是唯一的一个！我除了要说声“莫须有”以外，还要求大家都能了解“最危险的地方反而最安全”的真谛！

每当指数走到一个大家公认的关卡，交易气氛总是会一下子变得严肃起来，有多少双眼睛在盯着看板，有多少颗心在七上八下！

终于，指数跃过了关卡，投资人立即爆发出了一阵喜悦的欢呼！现在就要看明天指数是否能如脱缰野马般的狂飙一番了！

好事多磨，第二天指数一开盘后不久便反转直下，最后还收了一根长阴线。已经买进了的人急得如热锅上的蚂蚁，心想又被“骗线”了；空仓的人个个津津乐道他们的洞烛先机，“早就知道这个关卡哪会有这么容易过的”！

怎么办呢？让统计数字来告诉我们！我的研究资料显示，只要指数能在盘中触及众所周知的关卡点数，那行情短期内能翻越关卡续争上游的机会高过65％！又若指数在收盘时能站上关卡，无论第二天是涨是跌，指数在下面几天顺利“出关”的几率更是高达73％以上！很奇妙是吧？下一次当你再遇上指数过关后第二天又拉回的情况时，先别烦恼，或许这是老天希望你多买一点，多赚一点的机会呢！

以5000点的关卡为例，有看空的人会等到5000点才卖的吗？他们早就在过了4900点之后就一路偷偷溜掉了！在关卡前有哪一个人不害怕？有哪一个人不谨慎？玩股票的人没有省油的灯！那么为什么指数还会站上关卡呢？答案非常简单，因为必定有股强大的买气将所有可能的卖压全部消化掉了！这就是股市，一个少数必须服从多数的地方！

了解了这个道理，我们便可以得到一个结论——见关不是关，真正的关卡反而常是落在——举例说，指数5000点的上、下各50点附近，也就是4950点及5050点！

还有，当指数看来是轻松站上了5000点大关，下面10天之内的成交量不能开始萎缩，出现了“高处不胜寒”的现象。简单地说，过关之后的10天之内仍都是观察期，除了量能不可“虎头蛇尾”之外，如果出现1日的巨量收阴，那更是可怕，有可能是大户在拉高出货的手法，而这也是出现“假过关，真拉回”悲剧的最大原因
Posted by ckchoy77 at 22:30
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