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CK Choy.

Market Sense 市场意识: 胡立阳股票投资100招-第58招- 谨慎处理涨幅已达一倍的股票
Be decisive, Be patient, Don’t be greedy, Don't be stubborn

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The information contained in is provided to you for general information/circulation only and is not intended to nor will it create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information or opinions provided do not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, an offer or solicitation to subscribe for, purchase or sell the investment product(s) mentioned herein. It does not have any regard to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and any of your particular needs. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person or group of persons acting on this information. Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of the product and the income from them may fall as well as rise.

You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment products mentioned, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to purchase the investment product. In the event that you choose not to obtain advice from a financial adviser, you should assess and consider whether the investment product is suitable for you before proceeding to invest.

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Note:
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Saturday 25 June 2011

胡立阳股票投资100招-第58招- 谨慎处理涨幅已达一倍的股票

投资人问:
我常选择那种在低档盘整了很久才再出发的个股,而且会耐心地等到股价上涨一倍才从容下车。这种操作方法真是棒透了,我在股市中的成绩总是100分。事实上,我已注意到,上涨了一倍的股票常会在此时出现拉回,让我的卖出看来更加正确。请问,这只是巧合吗?

大家都说,投资房地产的秘诀是——地段、地段、地段!

我则要说,投资股票的秘诀是——耐心、耐心、耐心!

恭喜你,你的确具备了成为股市赢家的条件!

如果你错估时机,在30元价位买进一只个股,但股票很不争气,先惨跌到15元,经过一番挣扎后终于又回到了原先的30元,我会建议,应该把握时机,将失而复得的股票卖掉。

这当然只是一个例子。我的原则是,对于任何上涨幅度达到一倍的股票,就要特别小心。因为一般人的心理反应,对于股价上涨了百分之多少,并不会特别敏感,但对于“一倍”这个数目字,却会在心理上产生特殊的警戒心,自然想赶紧脱手。

有不少我认识的知名操盘手,对手中所有持股,只要是遇到由底部或者盘整区上涨了一倍的价位,都会特别注意,随时准备卖出。因此,特别要注意那些盘整了一段时间的股票,由于以同低价买进的人很多,日后遇上价格涨个一倍,必有强大的卖压涌出,短线必须提前准备应对措施。

同样的情况也适用于大盘指数上,当指数由起涨点上涨了一倍,通常卖压会接踵而至!

这里,我做了一项有趣的统计。在牛市中,假设指数是由1000点起涨,它在一年之内能站上2000点的几率平均是70%,这时大盘将遭遇第一次“涨一倍”的出笼卖压。接着,指数倘能力争上游,第二次涨一倍,也就是由2000点涨到4000点的几率则迅速下滑到40%,而这一次的卖压将更为沉重,大盘常会经过1~2个月以上时间的拉回整理。

至于第三次“涨一倍”的几率呢?全球股市平均只有15%!

涨幅已达一倍的股票要多加注意

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