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CK Choy.

Market Sense 市场意识: 胡立阳股票投资100招-第61招- 大量攻关,只有一次机会
Be decisive, Be patient, Don’t be greedy, Don't be stubborn

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The information contained in is provided to you for general information/circulation only and is not intended to nor will it create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information or opinions provided do not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, an offer or solicitation to subscribe for, purchase or sell the investment product(s) mentioned herein. It does not have any regard to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and any of your particular needs. Accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of any person or group of persons acting on this information. Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. The value of the product and the income from them may fall as well as rise.

You should seek advice from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment products mentioned, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs, before making a commitment to purchase the investment product. In the event that you choose not to obtain advice from a financial adviser, you should assess and consider whether the investment product is suitable for you before proceeding to invest.

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Note:
All TA (Technical Analysis) view using charts are for illustration purpose only.
Unless otherwise specified, all charts' sources are from POEMS(Phillip Online Electronic Mart System)

Saturday 25 June 2011

胡立阳股票投资100招-第61招- 大量攻关,只有一次机会

投资人问:
胡老师,您好!我与老公都是您的忠实听众,以往只要是您的演讲,我们一定参加,只是不好意思与您打招呼而已!记得吗,在实践堂的那场演讲会中,您提到要大家“密切观察股价在关卡附近的表现”,其中又提供几项宝贵的统计数字,台下几乎每个人都拼命地在抄笔记,我老公因此也要我赶紧记下来。但是事后我因一时糊涂,竟然把笔记弄丢了,我老公气得有好几天都不跟我讲话,我也不断自责。请问老师,您还记得那场演讲的内容吗?对我而言是太重要了!

世间上还有什么事能比挽回一对夫妻的和谐融洽来得重要呢?只可惜,我也糊涂,过去演讲次数实在太多,已经记不得你所提的内容。左思右想,觉得你所指的统计数字可能是有关股价在反弹时遇上关卡,要立即注意价量变化。现在快来回答,以回馈你们夫妻两人过去对我的热心支持!

当股价由80元下跌到60元后若它开始反弹,第一个必须克服的重要关卡便是在80与60元间的中间价位70元。任何用功研究股价趋势的投资人都会观察股票在70元附近的价量变化。

通常股价在弹升至69元以上,卖压便会逐渐增强,关键时刻若量与价配合无间,股价又能一举突破70元关卡,这便是涨升力道十足的证明,而第二天股价即使拉回也能守稳70元的话,则股价极可能再接再励挑战下一道,也就是75元(70元加80元除以2)的关口。你在此时可以考虑暂缓卖出,甚至酌量加码买进。

相反的,若股价在70元关卡连续三次无法攻上,依据统计,拉回整理的几率已高达九成。此外,也须注意,攻关时的量若大于该股最近10日平均量的20%,则股价平均只有两次冲关机会。更特殊的是,经我们长期统计,如果冲关时的量已超过10日均量的40%以上时,便只有一次机会,简直是“不成功便成仁”了!

我们花了整整5年的时间不断观察与比对,才得到这几个小小的统计数字,也算是珍贵吧,希望所有投资朋友都能善加利用!

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